With a Roscoe in the
puddle, the number of Sofias would increase dramatically, limited
only by Roscoe's speed of replication and the quantity of
raw materials.
Of course, Roscoe was not a perfect replicator,
and it would make many defective copies of Sofia (which in turn would
create various odd Freds when they were transcribed by a good Fred).
At some point, Roscoe would have accidentally
produced an incorrect copy of Sofia with an extremely interesting
property-- this 'bad' Sofia would just happen to
create a Roscoe, when transcribed by a Fred.
We'll call it a Sorrel (short for Sequence of Roscoe Replicating
ELements).
Sorrel Feedback
Once Sorrel came on the scene, there were
two chains and two short proteins in the
neighborhood, and they had a brand new synergy. Roscoes made more
Sofias and Sorrels,
Freds made more Freds and Roscoes, and then
their children continued to make more of the same. A positive feedback
loop!
From an evolutionary point of view, we are
definitely getting somewhere with this! It's
the first chemical system that is able to
completely self-replicate, at least under
extremely ideal conditions. All it takes
is a Fred, a Sofia and a Sorrel in the right
puddle, and the loop will run until all raw
materials are turned into our four interesting
large molecules.
In the presence of some catalytic or natural
process that keep producing more of the same
two amino acids and the same two chain molecules,
Fred and Roscoe will keep on flooding the
entire region with Freds, Roscoes, Sofias
and Sorrels more or less permanently.
Sorrel Timing
How long would it have taken for Sorrel to
appear?
As with Roscoe, it probably wasn't
long. The difference between Fred and Roscoe
was probably just in one or two amino acids
at the elbow end. That means that Sorrel
would have been only one or two chain molecules
different from Sofia. So it would only take
a small number of glitches to accidentally
produce a Sorrel from a Sofia.
The jump from protein replication gene to
chain replication gene may have only taken
hours, days or years, given the high percentage
of bad copies that our inefficient Fred would
have made. Practically an instant, in geological
time.
Partial Freds
We talked earlier about alternative versions
of Fred. Now that we're familiar with
Roscoe and Sorrel, there is another possible
pathway to consider.
It's possible that Fred may have consisted
of more than one small polypeptide, rather
than one moderately large one. In that case,
it would have developed via a slightly more
complicated path.
Consider the original Fred puddle, but with
two shorter half-Fred proteins-- we'll
call them knee-Fred (which can match to chain
molecules) and elbow-Fred (which can line
up amino acids). We'll also throw in
an elbow-Sofia which happens to create an
elbow-Fred when it is transcribed by a Fred.
The sequence might go as follows:
1. When elbow-Fred, knee-Fred and elbow-Sofia
got together, the temporary Fred would read
the elbow-Sofia, and create a bunch of elbow-Freds.
2. A mutant elbow-Fred might be produced
which would act like the elbow part of a
Roscoe. It would match with the knee-Fred
and start duplicating elbow-Roscoes.
3. A bad copy of elbow-Sofia might turn out
to be a knee-Sofia, which would produce knee-Freds.
Now the puddle would be filled with many
copies of both Fred halves.
4. A bad copy of knee-Sofia might be a knee-Sorrel,
which would produce knee-Roscoes. Now the
puddle would be filled with many copies of
both Roscoe halves, and positive feedback
would start to occur.
5. Eventually the two half-Sofias might merge
into a full Sofia, and the two half-Sorrels
might merge into a full Sorrel. That would
bring the system to the full Fred/Roscoe/Sofia/Sorrel
system.
The advantage of the 'half Fred' system
is that it uses much smaller chains and polypeptides
(perhaps as small as 10 molecules in length).
Those smaller molecules would have formed
much more frequently from catalysis or templates.
For example, in a two-amino-acid puddle,
there are only 210 or about 1,000 possible
permutations of 10-molecule polypeptides.
So the chance of seeing two half-Freds and
a half-Sofia might be considerably greater
than waiting around for 20-molecule chains
and polypeptides to appear.
The disadvantage of the 'half Fred' system
is that it requires more 'puddle evolution' at
the very beginning, before it can start replicating
in quantity.
Evolution of Sofia and Sorrel
You might think OK, now we're all set,
we have everything we need for positive feedback,
and we'll soon have an entire ocean
full of Freds, Roscoes, Sofias and Sorrels.
And then they'll get better and better,
and evolve into life.
Well, sorry, but it's just not that
simple. We still have many tedious steps
ahead, before anything like that can happen.
There are two basic problems.
First of all, the Fred/Roscoe system is still
very dependent on an exact mix of chemical
raw materials, and there were probably only
a few extremely rare puddles with conditions
they needed for their chemical wizardry.
Even worse, the four-molecule system itself
is still too simple to evolve successfully
via plain old Darwinian selection. They are
just free-floating chemicals, and they lack
most of the properties of a true organism.
Let's take a closer look at these problems.
Local Concentrations
The biggest stumbling block for Fred and
Roscoe is a simple matter of ingredients-- they
need to have a high local concentration of
just two amino acids for Fred to work, and
high concentrations of just two chain molecules
for Roscoe to work.
Since Fred is so primitive about amino acid
selection, having other, similar compounds
around can easily 'poison' its
transcription results, and create non-functional
polypeptides. Fred would pop a similar-but-wrong
molecule into place, and the result would
be something other than a Fred.
Likewise, Roscoe is easily poisoned by any
molecules that are similar to its original
chain molecules.
Fred and Roscoe could have arisen in the
just right puddle complex where there was
an extremely high concentration of just the
right ingredients. But outside of the local
range of puddles, there would be too many
other compounds which would sabotage the
process, and result in totally unsuitable
results.
So for the moment, our little self-replicating
quartet can only work when in a rare puddle
with just the right concentrations of raw
materials-- formed from a cluster of
supercatalysts, or by some natural process.
Even with quadrillions of puddles in the
world, there would have been only a very
small number that were hospitable enough
for Fred and Roscoe. It's possible
that there was only one solitary puddle complex
on the entire Earth that could support their
lifestyle.
Local Evolution
Another problem is that we are still in a
chemical world of free-floating molecules,
and we really don't have true organisms
yet. Because Fred and Roscoe are still loose
in the soup, they will not have an easy
time competing against
their own bad copies
(and it's too much to believe that
the first Fred and Roscoe would start right
out reading and duplicating chains with 100%
accuracy).
With no true genetic inheritance, yet, natural
selection doesn't work as directly
as it does with modern, living organisms.
For example, in the puddle where Fred and
Roscoe first appeared, there would be a few
good Freds and a few good Roscoes, but there
would also be many bad copies. Likewise there
would be good Sofias and Sorrels in a mix
of many bad copies. In that kind of genetic
chaos, there's no reason that Roscoe
would have preferentially replicated the
real Sorrels and Sofias, as opposed to the
bad ones. Likewise Fred would have connected
with plenty of bad chains, and then produced
a host of bad proteins with no enzymatic
action.
Natural selection works effectively for living
organisms because there is a direct link
between each individual's fitness,
and its genetic material. If an organism
does well, then its genes do well, automatically.
But this simple, four-molecule prebiotic
system has no direct linkage between the
genetic inheritance (Sofia and Sorrel) and
its expression (Fred and Roscoe). Or to use
more technical language, the genotype and
phenotype were not linked.
Fortunately, a certain amount of natural
selection and evolution could happen with
such simple molecules-- but only if
there were large numbers of isolated populations
where fairly simple, chemical-based selection
could take place. Let's take a look
at that now.
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